The Fair Card Trick: Probability comic

LearnFun Comics#47
Baron Blunder

The Fair Card Trick

A deck full of surprises!

Starring Momo
Probability ยท Class 10

Cardville. Momo plays in the park.

Momo: Iโ€™ll count the cards. Easy peasy!

Baron Blunder

Baron Blunder: This card game looks fair. But itโ€™s not.

Momo: I count. 50 cards. 48 win?

Winning cards

Count all cards first

Winners from total divide

Chance of winning found

Momo: I count all cards, then winners. Probability tells me my chances!

Baron Blunder

Baron Blunder: Not 48. More like 40!

Momo: I count 50 cards. 40 win. Thatโ€™s 40 winners รท 50 cards = 0.8

40 รท 50 = 0.8

0.8 = 80% chance

I win 80% of the time!

Remember these

Probability = Winners รท All cards

Always divide to find it

Percentage is 100 times the result

Momo: Always divide winners by all cards. Then multiply by 100 for percent!

Your turn, hero!

Baron Blunder
Baron Blunderโ™ฅโ™ฅโ™ฅ

Momo has 15 cards. 12 win. Whatโ€™s the chance as a %?

80%. 12 รท 15 = 0.8. 0.8 ร— 100 = 80%

Baron Blunder

Baron Blunder: Gee, Momo, 1 minus 20% wins. 80% lose! Gasp

24 cards. 18 win. Whatโ€™s the %?

75%. 18 รท 24 = 0.75. 0.75 ร— 100 = 75%

The final battle

Baron Blunder
Baron Blunderโ™ฅโ™ฅโ™ฅ

If 5 cards win, how many must be total for 20% to win?

25. 5/total = 20/100 โ†’ total = 5 ร— 5 = 25

Baron Blunder

Baron Blunder: You get 80%! Losing is 100%-80! 12 cards win! Boo

Momo: 12 of 15 cards win. 12 รท 15 = 0.8, so that is 80%!

Cards in the deck, safely saved.

The End?

Remember

  • Probability = Winners รท All cards
  • Divide winners by all cards
  • Multiply by 100 for percentage

But where are Baron Blunderโ€™s cards from? Hmmm

A comic book about Probability. Follow Momo, learn the idea, and answer three questions to beat Baron Blunder.

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